Oct 22 (Reuters) - Sterling hit a fresh 2-month low
against the dollar on Tuesday while investors remained focused
on the central banks' easing paths and the possible outcome of
the U.S. elections.
The U.S. dollar index was just off a 2-1/2-month high
on expectations the Federal Reserve will take a measured
approach to rate cuts, while the too-close-to-call U.S. election
keeps investors on edge.
British public borrowing in the first six months of the tax
year came in higher than official forecasts, data showed on
Tuesday, underscoring the challenge facing finance minister
Rachel Reeves in her first budget next week.
Analysts expected the UK budget to tighten spending, a move
that could weaken the economy and lead the BoE to more rate cuts
than markets are currently pricing.
Sterling was last down 0.05% at $1.2883, after
hitting its lowest since mid-August at $1.2967.
The pound has so far benefited from the Bank of England's
cautiously hawkish tone, signalling a more gradual cutting cycle
relative to peers, while UK growth was outperforming relative to
the euro area.
"We think these forces (rate and growth divergence) will
continue to weigh on the (euro/pound) cross also in the coming
months," said Kirstine Kundby-Nielsen, analyst at Danske Bank.
"Longer-term, some of these pound tailwinds look set to
fade, and we expect not least a more dovish BoE to eventually
weigh on sterling."
The BoE's Megan Greene said she still believed the central
bank should be cautious about cutting borrowing costs.
Analysts noted that Thursday's release of the UK PMI data
could affect market expectations for the BoE's monetary easing
path.
Last week, sterling tumbled to its lowest two months after
softer-than-expected British inflation.
The single currency rose 0.14% to 83.41 pence per
euro.
The repricing of the euro area policy rate outlook, with
investors discounting some chances of a 50 basis points rate cut
in December, was weighing on the single currency last week.