Jan 14 (Reuters) - The British pound was poised to
record a sixth consecutive day of decline against the dollar on
Tuesday and hit a fresh 2-1/2-month low versus the euro as
concerns about Britain's fiscal sustainability continued to
weigh.
Heavy government bond supply has put pressure on British
asset prices, while inflation concerns have driven bond yields
higher on both sides of the Atlantic.
Investors will closely watch U.S. inflation readings, which
could provide further clues on how stubborn U.S. price pressures
are. Producer price figures are due later on Tuesday, with
consumer prices on Wednesday.
The dollar hovered near its highest level in over two years
as traders scaled back wagers on U.S. rate cuts in 2025 after
strong economic data.
The British currency dropped 0.2% to $1.2175. It
hit $1.2097 on Monday, its lowest level since November 2023.
Yields on 10-year gilts dropped one basis point
to 4.88% after jumping last week amid worries about the
government's plans to sell more debt and inflationary pressures
in the United States.
UK consumer price figures, due on Wednesday, will also be in
the spotlight. Analysts argued that sticky inflation could lead
investors to price in less Bank of England (BoE) rate cuts in a
move which could spell more trouble for the UK market.
Higher yields usually reflect a strong economy and attract
capital inflows, strengthening the currency. In this case, they
may force the government to cut fiscal spending to meet its
fiscal rules, potentially weighing on future growth.
Britain's finance ministry said last week it would maintain
"an iron grip" on public finances in response to a two-day
selloff in debt markets.
"But the UK economy is weak, persistent inflation keeps
monetary policy excessively tight, while higher yields squeeze
the government's fiscal policy space," said Paul Mackel, global
head of forex research at HSBC, arguing that these themes will
continue to swirl and leave the pound exposed.
The single currency rose 0.4% to 84.26 pence, its
highest level since Nov. 1.
Analysts pointed out that UK budget constraints include a
stability rule, whereby day-to-day spending must be matched by
revenues and an investment rule that public sector net financial
liabilities will decline as a proportion of gross domestic
product (GDP).
Investors will closely watch the outcome of a
4-billion-pound auction of 10-year gilts on Wednesday to gauge
investor demand.