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Russian rouble hits weakest vs dollar since March 2022
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New U.S. sanctions on Gazprombank hurt Russian exports
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Geopolitical risk high after Russia fires new missile
(Updates prices at 1331 GMT, rewrites throughout, adds bullets)
MOSCOW, Nov 22 (Reuters) - The Russian rouble tumbled to
a more than two-year low against the dollar on Friday after
Washington imposed sanctions on a key bank facilitating Russia's
gas exports to Europe and as Moscow's firing of a new hypersonic
missile stoked geopolitical tensions.
Moscow fired the newly developed hypersonic ballistic
missile - the
Oreshnik or Hazel Tree
- at a Ukrainian military facility on Thursday in response
to Kyiv striking Russia with U.S.-made and British-made missiles
this week for the first time after the U.S. granted its
approval.
Also on Thursday, Washington imposed
new sanctions
on Russia's Gazprombank that prevent the lender from
handling any new energy-related transactions, potentially
shutting down
the only way European customers can pay for Russian gas.
By 1331, the rouble was down 1.7% at 103.02
against the dollar, earlier hitting 103.7455, its weakest mark
since March 23, 2022. Trade in the rouble has become more opaque
since sanctions in June abruptly halted exchange trading dollars
and euros.
"The rouble is continuing to decline," said Yevgeny
Kogan, professor at Moscow's Higher School of Economics. "The
main reason is sanctions against Gazprombank, which was a
backbone bank for exporters."
Kogan said the sanctions had dramatically changed the
picture for the rouble going forward, expecting the Russian
currency to trade between 104-106 to the dollar by year-end, up
from his previous forecast of 97-99.
The rouble's official exchange rate, set by the central
bank using over-the-counter data, broke through the 100 mark
against the dollar this week for the first time since October
2023, as concerns rise of further escalation in Russia's
standoff with the West.
The rouble was down 1.2% at 107.40 to the euro and
had lost 0.7% against the yuan to 14.04 in Moscow Exchange
trade.
Analysts widely agreed that FX volatility on Russian
markets would be high in the near future, but some offered
rosier forecasts for the rouble.
"The new sanctions may complicate not just settlements
for exports but also for imports, which in turn will lower
demand for foreign currency," said Bank St Petersburg analysts.
"As a result, we should not rule out a scenario of some
strengthening of the Russian currency in the medium term."
Brent crude oil, a global benchmark for Russia's
main export, was down 0.7% to $73.68 per barrel.