SHANGHAI, March 26 (Reuters) - Wall Street firm Morgan
Stanley ( MS ) raised their index targets for Chinese shares for
a second time this year, citing higher earnings growth forecasts
and a better outlook for the economy and currency.
The bank revised up its year-end index targets for Hong
Kong's benchmark Hang Seng Index, Hang Seng China
Enterprises index, MSCI China index and
China's blue-chip CSI300 index to 25,800, 9,500, 83,
and 4,220 points, respectively.
"The new and higher index price targets are driven by both
moderate increases in earnings growth forecasts and higher
valuation targets," the U.S. bank said in a note on Wednesday.
It also cited "improved macro and FX outlook forecasts".
Chinese stocks have gained momentum this year, with the MSCI
China index about rising 16% so far this year, underpinned by
investor optimism about progress in generative AI and Beijing's
stimulus measures to support consumption and the broader
economy.
Morgan Stanley ( MS ) also raised its forecast for China's economic
growth in 2025 to 4.5% from 4.0% previously. It revised its yuan
predictions to 7.35 per dollar by mid-2025 and 7.50 at the end
of this year, versus 7.50 and 7.60, respectively, in a previous
estimate.
"We have always made the point that currency strength serves
as an important factor for Chinese equities, especially for the
offshore market.
"This is because foreign investors' funding costs are
usually in U.S. dollar terms, which means a relatively stronger
or less weak currency should be a positive catalyst from an
asset allocation perspective."