NEW YORK/LONDON, March 4 (Reuters) - Mexico's peso rose
against the dollar in a volatile session on Tuesday, as traders
priced the effect of newly imposed U.S. tariffs of 25% on
imports from Mexico.
The peso strengthened late in the session after U.S.
Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick told Fox Business that
President Donald Trump will reach a middle ground with Canada
and Mexico on tariffs and an announcement to that effect was
expected on Wednesday.
Mexico's trade-dependent economy sends around 80% of its
exports to the United States. President Claudia Sheinbaum said
some Mexican agricultural exports like avocados could find other
destinations, adding she would announce Mexico's full response
on Sunday.
Investors rightly recognize that imposing 25% tariffs on
Mexico and Canada would be an act of economic self-sabotage for
the U.S. according to Alejo Czerwonko, chief investment officer
for emerging markets in the Americas at UBS Global Wealth
Management.
"Sheinbaum has been skilfully managing U.S. pressures," he
added.
Mexican stocks also staged a comeback, with the local
benchmark up 0.6% on the day after earlier touching its
lowest in five weeks. At its session low, the index fell over 2%
while the bounce back took it to a 1.2% gain.
The peso fell as much as 1.5% on the day to 21.002 per
dollar, the weakest since a tariff-related selloff in early
February. But the afternoon rally brought the currency back to
positive territory and it ended the day up 0.48% at 20.586 per
dollar.
The greenback fell across the board as investors weighed the
dollar support from tariffs against the economic impact in the
U.S., where stocks and bond yields also fell.
JPMorgan analysts said Tuesday they continue to believe
tariffs will be temporary, with an immediate price reaction on
the peso in a range from 2% stronger to 4% weaker.
The currency has lost a fifth of its value to the
dollar since last April, having been hit with both concerns over
U.S. trade and domestic political and constitutional changes.