SALMON-CHALLIS NATIONAL FOREST, Idaho, July 22 (Reuters)
- T he only U.S. cobalt mine sits fallow in the northern Idaho
woods, a mothballed hunk of steel and dirt that is too expensive
for its owner to operate because Chinese rivals have flooded
global markets with cheap supplies of the bluish metal used in
electric vehicle batteries and electronics.
Jervois Global ( JRVMF ), which dug the mine into the side of
a nearly 8,000-foot (2,400-meter) mountain, watched helplessly
last year as cobalt prices plunged after China's CMOC
Group opened the Kisanfu mine in the Democratic
Republic of Congo, pushing global production of the metal to an
all-time high.
The Idaho site, which Jervois bought in 2019, was idled in
June 2023 just weeks before it was set to open. More than 250
workers lost their jobs. A skeleton crew now rotates unused rock
crushing equipment weekly to keep it from flattening under its
own weight.
"We were straightforward with our staff and told them: 'This
is all about the price of cobalt,'" site manager Matthew
Lengerich told Reuters during a visit to the facility. Jervois
says cobalt prices need to reach at least $20 per pound for the
site to open. But prices sat near $12.17 in July.
A similar quandary faces BHP, Albemarle and
other Western mining companies trying to compete with metals
produced by Chinese-linked companies, some of which use
coal-generated electricity, child labor or other practices not
meeting the standards set by many governments and manufacturers.
Western miners say their competitors have inherent cost
advantages that enable rapid production expansions even as
prices for cobalt, lithium and nickel have plunged more than a
third in the past 18 months. Operational costs for many of these
Western companies have, as a result, been exceeding what market
prices will cover.
That has fueled growing calls from some policymakers and
miners, including Jervois and Albemarle, for a two-tier pricing
system with a premium for sustainably produced metals, according
to interviews with more than three dozen traders, investors,
executives, purchasing agents, and pricing agencies.
The plan is to charge more for a metal that is produced
sustainably, whether that is through direct transactions or via
multiple prices for a metal listed through futures exchanges,
depending on production methods. For example, there would be one
price for standard nickel and another for green nickel.
"Western miners simply can't compete with China, and China
has shown the willingness to drive market prices way, way down,"
said Morgan Bazilian, director of the Payne Institute for Public
Policy at the Colorado School of Mines.
Two-tier pricing could radically shift how metals needed for
energy transition have been bought and sold for centuries yet
also reduce market transparency as miners could bypass metals
exchanges to negotiate directly with customers.
It could also, two analysts told Reuters, lead to multiple
definitions of what exactly constitutes "green metal."
'COMMITMENTS HAVE A COST'
Industry leaders have pushed for two pricing structures for
several years, but the call for change started gaining more
attention from investors, policymakers and customers last fall
as Western governments grew more concerned about Chinese
competition.
In meetings across Washington and Brussels, mining
executives have been pleading with governments for some kind of
intervention until two-tiered pricing is more widely embraced,
suggesting that tariffs, supply chain transparency requirements,
or government insurance for mines could be potential remedies,
three industry sources said.
U.S. and E.U. officials have privately expressed sympathy
with the mining industry, according to two of the sources, but
have so far been loath to inject themselves into the mechanics
of how prices are set by exchanges and others.
"I don't want to say what the markets should or shouldn't do
to ensure strong ESG practices," said the U.S. State
Department's Jose Fernandez, who oversees a program designed to
facilitate metals supply deals. "But it is true that all of
those commitments have a cost."
As a result, mining industry customers such as automakers
are in the uncomfortable position of trying to keep their costs
low while maintaining secure and diverse metals supplies. Some
deals are taking shape, prodded in part by regulations tied to
emissions.
The European Union by 2027 will require EV manufacturers to
show where they procure metals and the carbon footprint for
their production. Refusal to comply would mean an EV can't be
sold in the region, a step not yet taken by the United States
but one widely seen as the most aggressive globally to boost
supply chain transparency and likely to fuel premium metals
contracts.
In Canada last year, Northern Graphite ( NGPHF ) started
successfully demanding a premium from customers wanting
guaranteed North American supplies of the battery metal.
Teck Resources ( TECK ) earlier this year started selling
a lightly processed type of copper known as concentrate to
Aurubis, a source with direct knowledge said. The
transaction does not rely on exchange pricing and guarantees
Aurubis a steady supply of ESG-compliant concentrate that it
turns into copper for sale to the auto industry.
Teck declined to comment. Aurubis said it sees "the way to a
green-friendly copper industry as a joint task for the entire
value chain, which needs to be honored from the raw material
supplier to the end consumer."
Customers for now do not face a penalty if they do not
source sustainable metals, but they increasingly face a
reputational risk.
"The question is really for car companies: Are you OK with
something that might be priced lower or are you willing to pay
premiums knowing that this is sourced sustainably in the correct
way?" said Michael Scherb, CEO of Appian Capital Advisory, a
private equity firm that invests in mining companies.
'WEATHER THE STORM'
BHP, the world's largest mining company, said this month it
would suspend operations at its Australia nickel mines due to
"the substantial economic challenges driven by a global
oversupply of nickel."
The move was a blow to a company that had unsuccessfully bet
its customers would be willing to pay a premium for nickel
produced in a country that mines sustainably.
BHP warned that nearly two-thirds of Australia's nickel
market is in danger of closing amid low market prices fueled by
a 153% increase in Indonesia's nickel from 2020 through the end
of last year due to Huayou Cobalt and others -
production that environmentalists say has partly come by tearing
up the country's vast rainforests.
U.S. officials are encouraging Jakarta to improve the
country's mining standards. Huayou Cobalt did not respond to a
request for comment.
Australia's nickel industry is among the cleanest in the
world largely due to how it handles carbon emissions, according
to data from ESG consultancy Skarn Associates. Nickel processed
in Indonesia emits more than five times the amount of carbon as
production in Australia, the data show, with emissions from
China's nickel industry nearly seven times worse than Australia.
Albemarle, the top global producer of lithium, laid off
staff in January amid low prices caused in part by ramped up
production from Yongxing Special Materials Technology
and others in China.
"If there isn't an incentive above current prices, you're
not going to get the investment you need to build the domestic
(U.S.) supply chain," said Eric Norris, who oversees Albemarle's
lithium operations.
Fernandez, the U.S. State official, expects rising minerals
demand to offset current "global oversupplies," but acknowledged
that miners, for now, are in a bind.
"We have to find ways to weather the storm," Fernandez said.
TRANSPARENCY
Since January, world leaders have taken a range of steps to
offset China's market control.
President Joe Biden imposed tariffs in May on critical
minerals produced in China, saying "(metals) prices are unfairly
low because Chinese companies don't need to worry about a
profit."
Jim Chalmers, Australia's treasurer, in February said
governments should consider support for "a differentiated
international trading market for resources produced to higher
ESG standards."
Chrystia Freeland, Canada's deputy prime minister, in April
said Ottawa would fight the dumping of critical minerals by
China, Indonesia and others.
The Chinese mission to the United Nations did not respond to
a request for comment. China has in the last year banned exports
of graphite and other metals.
Multiple U.S. senators from both parties have said they are
considering legislation to offer price insurance for metals,
similar to a government insurance program for crops, according
to Senate aides. Such a move would guarantee miners a price for
their metals, regardless of market conditions.
Automakers have been moving cautiously as this trend for
green pricing premiums evolves, conscious that consumers are
reluctant to pay more for EVs.
General Motors ( GM ), the largest U.S. automaker, believes
critical minerals should be produced sustainably but does not
want to pay a premium out of concern that it will be unable to
compete with Chinese rivals, according to a source directly
involved in the company's minerals procurement.
GM told Reuters it requires suppliers to comply with high
standards, a stance echoed by Volkswagen, BMW and Stellantis ( STLA ).
Tesla and Ford, which is building an
Indonesian nickel processing plant with Huayou Cobalt and PT
Vale Indonesia, did not respond to requests for
comment.
EXCHANGES
The London Metal Exchange (LME) said it has received
"positive market feedback" regarding its move to price
sustainable nickel. Its partner Metalshub, a German online
metals auction platform, sold 144 metric tons of low-carbon
nickel in May and plans to publish a corresponding price when
there are more transactions.
Benchmark Mineral Intelligence, a UK-based provider of
critical minerals pricing and data, has launched green metals
pricing contracts, with each price derived from how a mining
company adheres to 79 criterion that Benchmark said reflect high
production standards.
"You will not be able to guarantee by any stretch of the
imagination a non-China supply of certain metals unless you're
willing to pay some degree of a premium for that product," said
Benchmark's Daniel Fletcher-Manuel.
That's the message that Jervois has been pushing,
unsuccessfully.
"Ultimately, ESG has a cost," said Bryce Crocker, the
company's CEO. "It's a worthwhile cost."