NEW YORK, Sept 4 (Reuters) - Shares of Nvidia ( NVDA )
and other Big Tech stocks have helped power the markets run to
record highs this year. Their recent wobble is making investors
nervous.
A tumble in the chipmaker's shares shaved $279 billion off
Nvidia's ( NVDA ) market capitalization on Tuesday, the single largest
one-day decline in market value on record for a U.S. company.
The stock was rebounding on Wednesday, rising 1% in late morning
trading.
Whether the steep fall is due to investors becoming more
cautious towards the artificial intelligence trend that
supercharged market returns this year or worries over the health
of the U.S. economy, more trouble for Nvidia ( NVDA ) and other Big Tech
stocks would likely spell trouble for the broader markets.
Nvidia ( NVDA ) - along with Apple ( AAPL ), Microsoft ( MSFT ),
Amazon ( AMZN ) and Alphabet - currently make up more
than a quarter of the weight in the S&P 500 and over a third of
the Nasdaq 100. Nvidia ( NVDA ) alone had comprised 23% of the S&P
500's year-to-date total return of 19.5% as of the end of
August.
Further losses in their shares would likely hurt those
indexes, which hit record highs in July, unless stocks in other
sectors of the market pick up the slack.
"When you look at Nvidia ( NVDA ) as a market leader, it's not
holding up despite very strong profits," said Jason Teh, chief
investment officer of Vertium Asset Management in Sydney.
"There's an old saying - if the troops can't follow the
generals, it's a warning sign."
Nvidia's ( NVDA ) quarterly forecast last week failed to meet the
lofty expectations of investors even as second quarter revenue
and profit topped estimates.
"Those earnings last week were fine; they exceeded
expectations," said Steve Sosnick, market strategist at
Interactive Brokers. "But the magnitude of the beats is
shrinking quarter by quarter and that's not lost on investors."
Index funds that track the S&P 500, Nasdaq 100 and other
benchmarks also stand to suffer if Nvidia ( NVDA ) slides, because of the
stock's increasingly heavy weighting in these indexes. The
chipmaker has even more sway in more narrow indexes and exchange
traded funds that focus on technology and semiconductor shares.
Even with its recent slide, Nvidia ( NVDA ) shares have more than
doubled in 2024, as of Tuesday's close, and the stock remains
the best year-to-date performer in the S&P 500. Shares of the AI
heavyweight are up a whopping 800% since October 2022.
Nvidia's ( NVDA ) ascent has helped drive the valuation of the
broader S&P 500 technology sector higher, causing some concerns
about a bubble in tech stocks. But the sector's forward
price-to-earnings ratio remains well below levels reached in
2000, during the dot-com era.