July 9 (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs Asset Management
executives expect the U.S. economy to grow at a slower clip of
about 2% in the second half of 2024, they said on Tuesday, with
equity indexes seen largely flat due to declining earnings
growth and political anxieties.
"It's absolutely a soft landing," said Lindsay Rosner, head
of multi-sector investing at the asset management arm of Goldman
Sachs ( GS ). "As the data comes through, that's what we're
seeing."
Rosner and other GSAM executives discussed their outlook in
an online media gathering on Tuesday morning.
"There is a real probability" that investors will see
interest rate cuts in the United States in the second half of
2024, Rosner added. She does not expect the Federal Reserve to
begin cutting until September, but added that rate cuts could
continue at a pace of 25 basis points per quarter.
As interest rates fall, Rosner said she expected the fixed
income market to benefit. She said she saw particularly
interesting opportunities in the high yield bond market and in
structured credit.
For equity investors, the biggest characteristic of the U.S.
market has been that only five stocks and a single trend - AI -
have generated half of all stock market returns, said Alexis
Deladerriere, global equity portfolio manager and head of
developed markets at GSAM.
"We think you need to move away from the early winners" in
AI and diversify exposure to this trend, he said.
As earnings growth decelerates overall and political
anxieties mount both domestically and globally, Deladerriere
said he anticipates U.S. stocks will remain largely flat in the
second half of the year but that a broader array of companies
will outperform, including small caps.
Deladerriere added GSAM views Indian and Japanese equities
as particularly attractive at this point, as plays on trends
ranging from AI to addressing climate change.
(Reporting by Suzanne McGee; Editing by Emelia
Sithole-Matarise)