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Argentina launches $65 bln bond swap to push back 2024
debt
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Brazil Feb monthly inflation forecast at 1-yr high
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Brazil's Petrobras on track to extend losses
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Latam stocks down 0.4%; FX flat
(Updated at 4pm ET/2000 GMT)
By Ankika Biswas and Lisa Pauline Mattackal
March 11 (Reuters) - Latin American currencies were
largely muted against the dollar on Monday as investors awaited
U.S. consumer inflation data for clues on the Federal Reserve's
rate path, while Argentina's international dollar bonds slipped
after the country launched a $65 billion bond swap.
The MSCI index for Latam currencies was flat
after hitting a near two-month high on Friday, with the dollar
gaining some ground, as mixed data kept prospects of a June Fed
rate cut alive.
All eyes are on U.S. CPI data on Tuesday ahead of the
central bank's March monetary policy decision next week.
Emerging markets and other risky assets have been hit in 2024 as
investors pull back expectations for the size and timeline for
reduced borrowing costs.
"We are probably witnessing a lull in currency markets
before a major spurt," said Arthur Budaghyan, chief emerging
markets strategist at BCA Research.
Budaghyan expects the U.S. dollar to continue rallying,
which he said will lead to more volatility and depreciation in
emerging market currencies.
Meanwhile, Argentina's government will launch a huge
voluntary debt swap of peso and some dollar-linked instruments
set to mature in 2024, a bid to push back repayments amid a
major economic crisis hammering the South American country.
Prices of the country's dollar-denominated government bonds
slipped, with the 2038 note down about 2 cents.
The Merval stock index dropped 4%.
Investors will also monitor a slew of other data this week
including Brazil's inflation, Argentina's CPI and a likely
interest rate decision and Mexico's industrial output.
A Reuters poll showed Brazil's monthly inflation rate likely
accelerated to a one-year high in February. The real was
little changed against the greenback.
"More recently, price concerns have begun to re-emerge,
especially after January IPCA (inflation) surprised the market
to the upside," said Bank of America analysts in a note.
Top copper producers Chile's peso fell 0.6% as prices
of the red metal fell ahead of loan data from top consumer
China.
Among others, the Colombian peso lost 0.3% and
Mexico's peso was flat, tracking weakness in crude oil prices.
Meanwhile, the MSCI index tracking Latam stocks
fell 0.4% to early January lows.
Petrobras preferred shares fell 1.2% after
plunging more than 10% on Friday as the government pushed the
state-run company to reinvest cash set aside for dividends,
after its board spiked an extra dividend.
Losses in Petrobras, coupled with a near 3% drop in miner
Vale, kept Brazil's benchmark stock index at
around the three-month low hit on Friday.
Vale will retain Eduardo Bartolomeo as CEO through 2024,
Reuters reported
Stocks in Chile jumped over 1%.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies at 2000 GMT:
Latest Daily %
change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1038.84 0.17
MSCI LatAm 2481.15 -0.37
Brazil Bovespa 126239.21 -0.65
Mexico IPC 55134.31 0.36
Chile IPSA 6416.46 1.24
Argentina MerVal 958962.45 -4.327
Colombia COLCAP 1298.29 -0.05
Currencies Latest Daily %
change
Brazil real 4.9781 0.00
Mexico peso 16.7996 0.06
Chile peso 966.4 -0.61
Colombia peso 3911.32 -0.29
Peru sol 3.6762 0.01
Argentina peso 848.0000 -0.12
(interbank)
Argentina peso 985 1.02
(parallel)