WARSAW, Oct 23 (Reuters) -
The Polish zloty fell further on Wednesday, at one point
erasing all the gains it made this year, as concerns around the
upcoming U.S. presidential election put emerging market assets
under pressure.
Most emerging market currencies slipped on Wednesday, as
investors tweaked their bets towards a gradual monetary policy
easing by the Federal Reserve which helped the dollar, while
caution remained in run-up to the Nov. 5 election.
Recent market pricing of a Donald Trump victory has given
the dollar a boost, as his proposed policies on taxes and
tariffs are seen as inflationary, likely keeping U.S. interest
rates high and undermining the currencies of trading partners.
By 1107 GMT, the zloty was down 0.35% against the
euro at 4.336, off a session low of 4.3425, which was on par
with where it had started the year.
"Clearly the market is preparing for the (U.S.) election and
is discounting the probability distribution. Recently this
probability favors Trump," a Warsaw-based trader said.
"This means a stronger dollar and a revision of expectations
regarding the interest rates path in the States... (which) is a
factor that simply carries risk aversion," the trader said,
adding that the weakening zloty is part of a wider picture of
pressure on emerging market assets.
"It seems to me that this will not end today or tomorrow. We
have to accept this Nov. 5 perspective."
The trader also said that Poland's ministry of finance was
visible on the market on Tuesday, trading foreign currencies at
attractive levels.
In comments published on Wednesday, Polish central banker
Ludwik Kotecki was quoted as saying that "the zloty may remain
subject to greater fluctuations" due to the stronger impact of
the forthcoming U.S. election on emerging market assets.
Kotecki said in the event of a Trump victory, uncertainty
"will probably increase more, especially in our part of the
world... This may result in pressure for the depreciation of our
currency."
The zloty remains Central and Eastern Europe's
best-performing currency this year on the back of stable
interest rates and unblocked funds from the European Union.
Elsewhere, the Hungarian forint slipped 0.16% to
401.05 per euro, with local markets closed for a bank holiday.
The Czech crown was 0.12% firmer at 25.19.
CEE MARKETS
SNAPSHOT AT
1307 CET
CURRENCIES
Latest Previous Daily Change in
trade close change 2024
EURCZK= Czech 25.1900 25.2200 +0.12% -1.94%
crown
EURHUF= Hunga 401.0500 400.4000 -0.16% -4.45%
ry
forin
t
EURPLN= Polis 4.3360 4.3210 -0.35% +0.20%
h
zloty
EURRON= Roman 4.9740 4.9736 -0.01% +0.01%
ian
leu
EURRSD= Serbi 117.0300 117.0500 +0.02% +0.18%
an
dinar
Note: calculated 1800
daily from CET
chang
e
Latest Previous Daily Change in
close change 2024
.PX Pragu 1638.06 1631.260 +0.42% +15.84%
e 0
.BUX Budap 73846.09 73846.09 +0.00% +21.82%
est
.WIG20 Warsa 2234.16 2250.38 -0.72% -4.64%
w
.BETI Bucha 17379.72 17337.55 +0.24% +13.07%
rest
Spread Daily
vs Bund change in
spread
Czech
Repub
lic
CZ2YT=R 2-yea 3.4710 0.0330 +134bps +10bps
R r
CZ5YT=R 5-yea 3.8020 -0.0060 +169bps +3bps
R r
CZ10YT= 10-ye 4.0600 0.0240 +176bps +4bps
RR ar
Polan
d
PL2YT=R 2-yea 4.9980 -0.0110 +287bps +6bps
R r
PL5YT=R 5-yea 5.4660 0.0240 +335bps +6bps
R r
PL10YT= 10-ye 5.8050 0.0230 +350bps +4bps
RR ar
FORWARD RATE
AGREEMENTS
3x6 6x9 9x12 3M
interbank
Czech Hunga Polan Note: FRA
quotes are
for ask
prices
********************************
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(Reporting by Karol Badohal in Warsaw; Editing by Varun H K)