NEW YORK, Aug 6 (Reuters) - Bridgewater Associates said
in a commentary sent to investors on Tuesday that it believes
the sell-off in Japan's equities the previous day was
exaggerated and that the stocks remain somewhat attractive,
according to two sources familiar with the letter.
According to the sources, the $112.5 billion global macro
hedge fund wrote that, in their opinion, the sell-off looked
overdone relative to the change in fundamental conditions.
Bridgewater did not immediately respond to a request for
comment on the analysis shared with investors.
On Monday, the Nikkei sank 12.4% in its biggest
daily sell-off since the 1987 Black Monday crash, after a job
data report on Friday showed a higher-than-expected U.S.
unemployment rate, raising concerns about a recession in the
world's largest economy.
On Tuesday, Japan's benchmark index rebounded strongly and
closed up 10.2%.
Investors also started to unwind yen-funded trades that had
been used to finance the acquisition of stocks for years after a
surprise Bank of Japan rate hike last week, exacerbating market
moves.
Bridgewater said in the commentary it considered Monday's
brutal sell-off to be shallow and short-lived, not representing
major changes in fundamental conditions.
A stronger yen after the Bank of Japan raised interest rates
last week and a lower rate of growth in developed markets make
conditions for Japan's stocks less supportive, but Bridgewater
said the unwind of the yen carry trade exacerbated the move.
The hedge fund told its investors that it continues to view
Japanese equities as somewhat attractive.
Bridgewater did not disclose if it was actively involved in
the yen carry trade.
MACRO FUNDS
Global macro hedge funds such as Bridgewater trade across
equities, fixed income and commodities in different geographies,
betting on global trends.
This strategy along with managed futures funds or commodity
trading advisers (CTAs) was a strategy most affected by the
recent unexpected rally in the yen, according to hedge fund
research firm PivotalPath, as the funds had sizeable bets
against the Japanese currencies.
In the Aug. 1 to Aug. 5 period, global macro quantitative
funds posted losses between 1.5% and 2.5% because of their short
yen positions, PivotalPath's exposure model calculations showed.
After losses of over 2% in July, those funds are down between 4%
and 5% year-to-date, after posting gains of almost 8% in April.
The drawdown will make a recovery before the year-end more
challenging for those funds, according to Jon Caplis, chief
executive officer at PivotalPath.
"A lot of global macro managers going into this year were
pounding the table that these (market) dislocations would be
very beneficial to them and they would be able to take advantage
of these opportunities. Unfortunately, I think you're going to
see some disappointment," he said.