financetom
Canadian Dollar
financetom
/
Forex
/
Canadian Dollar
/
"We Forecast that CAD will Perform Best" - Goldman Sachs on the Canadian Dollar
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
"We Forecast that CAD will Perform Best" - Goldman Sachs on the Canadian Dollar
Mar 22, 2024 2:17 AM

Image © Adobe Stock

2022 will be a good year for the Canadian Dollar says Goldman Sachs, while the Aussie Dollar is tipped to underperform.

The Wall Street bank's FX strategy team have put out their predictions for the year ahead in which they seek to answer the question "what will be the best and worst performing G10 currencies".

"We forecast that CAD will perform best and AUD will perform worst," says co-head of FX strategy Zach Pandl.

The call comes following a solid 2021 for the Canadian Dollar which gained against the majority of its G10 peers, helped by rising commodity and equity prices and the outperformance of its closest neighbour and trading partner, the United States.

Goldman Sachs finds the Bank of Canada will continue to provide an additional source of support, seeing a potential rate rise coming on January 26.

But over a three-year period economists see more rate hikes priced in than the broader market is currently anticipating.

Pandl also expects anything that "supports the U.S. Dollar generally" will aid Canadian Dollar crosses, particularly the CAD/AUD exchange rate.

Reference rates at publication:

GBP to CAD spot: 1.7232High street bank rates (indicative): 1.6630 - 1.6750Payment specialist rates (indicative: 1.7077 - 1.7146Find out about specialist rates and service, hereSet up an exchange rate alert, here"A 1% increase in the USD TWI is typically associated with a 0.6% decline in AUD/CAD," says Pandl.

The other important piece of the Canadian Dollar puzzle - the oil price - is also tipped to provide support.

The bank's commodity price outlook sees Brent oil prices at $90/bbl in three months and $85/bbl in 12 months.

By contrast, the Australian Dollar's key commodity - iron ore - is expected to "remain at low levels (around $110 per metric tonne) after falling sharply from June 2021".

Further headwinds to the Australian Dollar would come from Goldman Sachs' projections for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) are deeply below market pricing for each of the next three years (markets price RBA liftoff in mid-2022 while we forecast liftoff in Q4 2023).

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Canadian dollar (CAD) vs Pound Sterling (GBP): 1.80 Now Forecasted
Canadian dollar (CAD) vs Pound Sterling (GBP): 1.80 Now Forecasted
Mar 22, 2024
The pound sterling continues to advance against the Canadian dollar with the exchange rate now at levels last seen back in 2009.The pound sterling to Canadian dollar exchange rate (GBP/CAD) continues to head higher; at 14:44 in London we see the rate 0.42 pct higher at 1.7879. (Note: Our GBP/CAD...
Canadian Dollar Forecasts Lowered at UBS, Pound Sterling Back in the Groove
Canadian Dollar Forecasts Lowered at UBS, Pound Sterling Back in the Groove
Mar 22, 2024
By Will Peters The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is under fresh pressure on Tuesday morning with a slew of forecasters predicting the currency is to suffer yet further losses.A look at the currency market place in early afternoon London time shows: The pound sterling to Canadian dollar (GBP/CAD) exchange rate is...
Canadian dollar to sink further, Pound Sterling unable to extend gains in GBP/CAD
Canadian dollar to sink further, Pound Sterling unable to extend gains in GBP/CAD
Mar 22, 2024
The CAD suffered both from weak Canadian economic data delivered on Friday; today we hear that the outlook remains challenging.In early afternoon in London we see the Canadian dollar remains under pressure against the majority of currencies, but GBP/CAD is struggling somewhat: The pound sterling to Canadian dollar exchange rate...
Canadian dollar to pound sterling: GBP/CAD recovers as Canada steals the limelight for poor data releases this Friday
Canadian dollar to pound sterling: GBP/CAD recovers as Canada steals the limelight for poor data releases this Friday
Mar 22, 2024
By Gary Howes It looked as though the Canadian dollar was due a relief rally against the British pound on Friday morning after a poor UK data release. However, Canada then outshone the UK after releasing a surprisingly bad employment figure.In early afternoon trade we see the pound sterling to...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved