financetom
Pound-Dollar
financetom
/
Forex
/
Pound-Dollar
/
Pound-Dollar Rally a Signal the Worst is Over: FX Pro
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Pound-Dollar Rally a Signal the Worst is Over: FX Pro
Mar 22, 2024 2:18 AM

Image © Adobe Images

The Pound to Dollar exchange rate is a further two-thirds of a percent higher at the start of the new week with the pair up to 1.2565, a development that could suggest the worst of the recent global Markets selloff is now over.

Alex Kuptsikevich, FxPro senior market analyst, says he now sees a smooth recovery in the Pound from recent lows, which comes in tandem with some easing of risk pull in global markets.

The Pound struck a multi-year low of 1.2155 two weeks ago, leading Kuptsikevich to query at the time whether a break below the psychologically significant level of 1.20 was possible.

But following last week's 1.89% gain Kuptsikevich now believes Sterling is signalling the recovery in risk demand has evolved from a corrective bounce after oversold levels to one that is more entrenched.

"Interestingly, the Pound is giving even stronger signals of risk demand recovery than Bitcoin or the US stock indices, where we saw new multi-month lows inside on Friday afternoon," says Kuptsikevich.

"The performance of GBPUSD as one of the most liquid yet risk-sensitive currency pairs points to a return of buyers that has gone further than a formal oversold correction after a three-week-long sell-off," he adds.

The FX Pro analyst says the currency market often acts as a leading indicator of a reversal of established trends, and we are likely to see one such signal from the British currency.

"A recovery in risk demand in the markets and GBPUSD reaching 1.2750 as early as this week could be an additional confirmation signal that forex was the first to recover from the bearish pressure," says Kuptsikevich. (Set your FX rate alert here).

However, Kuptsikevich would want to see GBP/USD consolidate above 1.3000 before saying markets have fully digested the crisis of recent months.

Above: GBP/USD daily chart. Has the low been reached?

He says 1.30 is a level that has become the informal line separating the most acute periods of market fear from attempts to recover to normalcy over the past six years.

Pound Sterling opened the new week close to 1.25 after climbing from barely more than 1.22 last week and following a cacophony of supportive domestic and international developments including more favourable UK economic data and a softening of the U.S. Dollar.

"A tentatively brighter mood for global markets lifted the euro, sterling, and Canadian dollar to multiweek highs. Data is starting to a paint a more resilient picture of global growth which by extension is curbing demand for safety in the U.S. dollar," says Joe Manimbo, Senior Market Analyst at Western Union Business Solutions.

Domestically, stronger than expected first quarter UK wage growth, strong UK April retail sales figures and a tentative ebb lower in all-important U.S. government bond yields have each either engineered or otherwise supported a favourable turn higher in the spread or gap between U.S. and UK yields.

But the rebound in the Pound-Dollar rate may also have been helped by the sharp bounce in Renminbi exchange rates given the extent to which both currencies were impacted in April when the Chinese currency slumped in response to the now-easing ‘lockdown’ in the world’s largest port city, Shanghai.

The move further signals an improvement in broader global investor sentiment.

“Some support measures for the Chinese economy and some stability in the Chinese renminbi have helped usher in a period of consolidation in FX markets. This may well last into next week, although we would consider this a pause not a reversal in the dollar's bull trend,” says Chris Turner, global head of markets and regional head of research for UK & CEE at ING.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
The GBPUSD price tests the support base - Forecast today - 29-04-2024
The GBPUSD price tests the support base - Forecast today - 29-04-2024
Apr 29, 2024
GBPUSD Price Analysis The GBPUSD price tested 1.2480$ level and bounced bullishly from there, to resume the expected bullish wave on the intraday basis, which targets testing 1.2580$ as a first station. The EMA50 supports the expected rise, and breaching the targeted level will extend the bullish wave to reach 1.2700$, while holding above 1.2480$ represents key condition to achieve...
The GBPUSD price approaches the target - Forecast today - 30-04-2024
The GBPUSD price approaches the target - Forecast today - 30-04-2024
Apr 30, 2024
GBPUSD Price Analysis The GBPUSD price continued to rise, reaching a few pips away from our awaited target at 1.2580$. However, the price now shows bearish rebound signals, suggesting a decline in the upcoming sessions and heading to visit 1.2480$ mainly. Therefore, a bearish trend will be expected for today, supported by the RSI negativity. Note that breaching 1.2580$ will...
The GBPUSD price awaits confirmation signal - Forecast today - 25-04-2024
The GBPUSD price awaits confirmation signal - Forecast today - 25-04-2024
Apr 25, 2024
Expected Price Scenarios The GBPUSD price is showing positive trades and approaches the key resistance at 1.2480$. A positive pattern on the chart may assist in breaching this resistance and attempting to regain the main bullish trend. However, technical indicators provide negative signals hindering the rise. We maintain neutrality until the price breaches the resistance or breaks 1.2385$ to confirm...
The GBPUSD price confirms the breach - Forecast today - 26-04-2024
The GBPUSD price confirms the breach - Forecast today - 26-04-2024
Apr 26, 2024
GBPUSD Price Analysis Expected Scenario The GBPUSD price settles above the 1.2480$ level, confirming the continuation of the bullish bias on the intraday basis. The initial target is set at 1.2580$, with the EMA50 supporting the price from below and reinforcing the chances of achieving more gains in the upcoming sessions. We suggest the continuation of the bullish bias conditioned...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved