financetom
Pound-Dollar
financetom
/
Forex
/
Pound-Dollar
/
Pound-Dollar Looks for A Santa Upswing
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Pound-Dollar Looks for A Santa Upswing
Mar 22, 2024 2:18 AM

Image © Adobe Images

Pound Sterling could be set for further gains against the Dollar into year-end with one market professional saying the stage looks set for a 'Santa Rally'.

"Santa Rallies, a phenomenon observed during the holiday season, have intrigued and captivated investors for decades," says Nigel Green, CEO of de Vere Group, the financial services provider.

"Historically, these year-end surges often reflect an optimistic and festive market sentiment," he explains.

The Pound is a pro-cyclical 'risk on' currency relative to the Dollar, meaning it tends to advance in value when market sentiment is buoyant, as would be the case in a Santa Rally.

The Dollar, which has a negative correlation with rising stock markets, would be tipped to fall under such a scenario.

In October, Green predicted that "we’re about to see a year-end rally, which investors would not want to miss out on."

This call has proven accurate, with the Pound to Dollar exchange rate rising in tandem with a stock market rally, advancing 3.87% in November to close the month at 1.2623.

Track GBPUSD with your own custom rate alerts. Set Up Here.

At the start of December, Green says he now expects the momentum to continue. "It’s likely we’ll see markets experience a Santa Rally taking us to the end of 2023."

de Vere Group attributes a surge in stocks to a plummet in bond yields that's been triggered by increasing signals that central banks, including the Federal Reserve, the Bank of England and the European Central Bank, among others, are done for now with their rate hiking agendas.

Notable examples of Santa Rallies include December 1991, where positive developments in the Gulf War and easing tensions contributed to a market upswing.

In 2018, despite a challenging year, markets experienced a late-year surge attributed to positive trade developments between the US and China.

"The signals are for a Santa Rally as we expect the markets to have steadily more momentum to the end of 2023," says Green.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
The GBPUSD price awaits to confirm the break - Forecast today - 09-05-2024
The GBPUSD price awaits to confirm the break - Forecast today - 09-05-2024
May 9, 2024
GBPUSD Price Analysis Forecasts and Analysis The GBPUSD price has found solid support at 1.2480$, resulting in temporary bullish bias. However, the EMA50 is exerting negative pressure, supporting expectations for the continuation of the bearish trend. The next target for the bearish trend is 1.2385$. We maintain our suggestion of an intraday bearish trend, with a note that breaching 1.2515$...
BOE holds interest rates unchanged for sixth straight meeting
BOE holds interest rates unchanged for sixth straight meeting
May 9, 2024
Bank of England voted to hold interest rates unchanged for the fifth straight meeting at 5.25%, the highest since March 2008, matching analysts' expectations. ...
The GBPUSD price under the negative pressure - Forecast today - 08-05-2024
The GBPUSD price under the negative pressure - Forecast today - 08-05-2024
May 8, 2024
GBPUSD Price Analysis Outlook and Forecast for Current Trading Sessions Expected Scenario GBPUSD price traded with clear negativity in the previous sessions, reaching 1.2480$ level Seems open to surpass this level and achieve more expected decline on the intraday basis Confirming the break will push the price towards 1.2385$ as a next negative target Expectation of witnessing more decline in...
Sterling under pressure ahead of BOE decisions
Sterling under pressure ahead of BOE decisions
May 9, 2024
Sterling fell in European trade on Thursday against a basket of major rivals, extending losses for the third straight day against the dollar and moving away from three-week highs on profit-taking, as investors shun risks ahead of the BOEs policy decisions. The Bank of England is expected to maintain interest rates unchanged for the sixth meeting in a row, but...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved