financetom
British Pound
financetom
/
Forex
/
British Pound
/
Pound Sterling Leaps against Euro, Dollar on Global Market Rebound
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Pound Sterling Leaps against Euro, Dollar on Global Market Rebound
Mar 22, 2024 2:19 AM

Image © Adobe Images

Market rates at publication: GBP/EUR: 1.1306 | GBP/USD: 1.3707Bank transfer rates: 1.1080 | 1.3423Specialist transfer rates: 1.1220 | 1.3611More about bank-beating exchange rates, hereThe British Pound has responded to an improvement in sentiment amongst global investors by appreciating in value against the Euro, Dollar, Franc and Yen.

European and Asian stock markets have gone higher in mid-week trade while futures for U.S. markets are also suggesting a solid opening on Wall Street, suggesting that Sterling's performance has a global flavour to it.

The general setup therefore suggests the UK currency is now displaying a positive correlation to trends in investor sentiment, with today's gains against the Euro and Dollar correlating with a more confident stock market.

"Risk sentiment was more positive in Asia, partly on US fiscal stimulus hopes, with the incoming Biden administration proposing an additional $1.9tn on top of the $900bn package passed by Congress late last year. Treasury Secretary nominee and former Fed Chair Janet Yellen yesterday urged lawmakers to “act big” on the next fiscal package. She also signalled some hard-line policies on China would continue," says Hann-Ju Ho, Economist at Lloyds Bank.

Based on this emerging relationship, the UK currency could extend higher should a trend of improving sentiment and stronger equity markets continue.

"Our FX Risk Index remains in strongly risk-seeking territory," says Manuel Oliveri, FX Strategist at Crédit Agricole in London.

"The generalised pull higher in risk appetite has supported Sterling," says Jeremy Thomson-Cook, Chief Economist at Equals Money.

The latest developments could signal an evolution away from Brexit-related issues and towards a more predictable relationship with markets for Sterling in 2021.

The Pound-to-Euro exchange rate has risen by 0.50% to quote at 1.1300, meanwhile the Pound-to-Dollar exchange rate is quoted at 1.3671, up 0.40% on the day.

The outlook for the Pound could well lie with how the global economic recovery progresses and how long investors can continue to drive markets higher.

"Although politics and developments on the Covid-19 front around the word should continue to prove a strong driver for sentiment, investors’ focus is also shifting to the US earnings season, which just kicked off. Given the guidance presented so far, the negative surprise potential is likely to be low. Hence, it cannot be excluded that a combination of more aggressive fiscal measures and constructive earnings releases will keep growth expectations and appetite for risk assets supported," says Oliveri.

{wbamp-hide start}

Smaller banner

GBP/EUR Forecasts Q2 2023

Period: Q2 2023 Onwards
Details: Consensus institutional forecast targets + max & min targets.
Contributors: Citi, Barclays, Morgan Stanley & more
Provider: Global Reach
Type: Free Download
Please Access Here

Smaller banner

GBP/USD Forecasts Q2 2023

Period: Q2 2023 Onwards
Details: Consensus institutional forecast targets + max & min targets.
Contributors: Citi, Barclays, Morgan Stanley & more
Provider: Global Reach
Type: Free Download
Please Access Here
{wbamp-hide end}{wbamp-show start}{wbamp-show end}The Pound-to-Euro exchange rate has risen to 1.1300, which is its highest level since May 15 in a move that could represent a major about-turn in fortunes for the UK currency.

The GBP/EUR rally that we saw last week failed at a key technical resistance point during Friday and Monday's sessions, and the pair was in the process of pulling back from this level heading into Wednesday.

We reported earlier in the day the Pound looked liable to retrace its recent gains back to the mid-point of a multi-month range in the GBP/EUR exchange rate, located at 1.11. (Those regular readers of Pound Sterling Live will have been following our coverage of GBP/EUR's approach back up to the important 1.1280 level.)

This level - which translates into 0.8865 in EUR/GBP terms - was identified as a make-or-break point for the Sterling recovery: a break higher could lead to a rapid acceleration into new multi-month highs. But recent history shows that attempts to break above this level tends to fail.

However, given the new thrust higher today could be the day the technical picture finally shifts:

Above: GBP/EUR's failures at 1.1280 risks another pullback to the middle of the range. But a decisive break above here opens the door to higher levels.

"Sterling gains versus Euro have recently been predominantly driven by Euro weakness, taking this pair back up to consistent chart resistance last week. This week, however, trading appears to be boosted by improving GBP sentiment and this morning the currency breached a major technical level against the Euro - 1.1280 - as the UK rolls out vaccines at an impressive rate and the post-Brexit picture is at least clearer," says Joe Tuckey, an analyst for Argentex Group.

Tucket adds that covid-19 continues to drive markets and whilst the UK is rolling out the vaccine at a much faster rate than European counterparts, it seems reasonable that Sterling will on balance be firmer on a comparative basis, despite the spectre of negative interest rate policies potentially capping gains.

"In the mid-term, all eyes will be on the Bank of England as it weighs up the interest rate debate at its 4th February meeting, striking a tricky balance between near term challenges and a vaccine driven recovery,” he adds.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
The Pound "Shouldn't be Haunted by the Ghosts of 2022" Says Deutsche Bank
The Pound "Shouldn't be Haunted by the Ghosts of 2022" Says Deutsche Bank
Mar 22, 2024
Above: Image © Pound Sterling Live, original picture by Simon Dawson / No 10 Downing St. On the eve of the UK budget, a Deutsche Bank analyst tackles the question of whether GBP investors ought to fear the return of the bond vigilantes and a repeat of the 2022 episode...
British Pound Sterling Heads Sideways as Equity Markets Rally
British Pound Sterling Heads Sideways as Equity Markets Rally
Mar 22, 2024
By Gary HowesToday's Exchange Rates Below are the spot exchange rates as of the last update: Pound to euro exchange rate: Unchanged on a day-to-day basis at 1.2040.Pound to US dollar exchange rate: 0.01 pct down at 1.6390.Pound to Australian dollar rate: 0.36 pct higher at 1.8364.Pound to New Zealand...
British Pound (GBP) LIVE: Sterling in Steady Recovery After Services PMI Delivers a Blow
British Pound (GBP) LIVE: Sterling in Steady Recovery After Services PMI Delivers a Blow
Mar 22, 2024
Last Updated: 07 April 2014 Updated: The British Pound (GBP) is stable as we move into the second week of April. Selling on global equity markets has seen some relief being enjoyed against the commodity dollars. Meanwhile, we continue to see consolidation vs the Euro and US dollar. This period...
British Pound (GBP) LIVE: Sterling Set for Fresh Bounce vs USD, Bank of England Risk Ahead
British Pound (GBP) LIVE: Sterling Set for Fresh Bounce vs USD, Bank of England Risk Ahead
Mar 22, 2024
Last Updated: 02 April 2014 Updated: Our Live coverage shows the UK pound to be in a period of consolidation at the start of April 2014. With the March PMI series missing expectations the GBP has found little by way of impetus. However, all eyes are on the release of...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved