financetom
Australian Dollar
financetom
/
Forex
/
Australian Dollar
/
Dip in Australian Dollar a Buying Opportunity says Westpac
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Dip in Australian Dollar a Buying Opportunity says Westpac
Mar 22, 2024 2:17 AM

Image © Adobe Images

GBP/AUD spot rate at publication: 1.7934Bank transfer rates (indicative guide): 1.7305-1.7431Money transfer rates (indicative): 1.7490-1.7807More information on securing bank beating exchange rates, hereOpen an account with an FCA-authorised provider and send money, hereForeign exchange strategists at Australian lender and investment bank Westpac see the recent dip in the value of the Australian Dollar as being temporary.

Given this view, they have recommended going 'long' on the currency in anticipation of a rebound and continuation higher.

"We have been arguing to use dips in the Australian Dollar as a buying opportunity for some time now – and we see the current dip as just such an opportunity," says Robert Rennie, a foreign exchange strategist with Westpac.

The Australian Dollar had fallen sharply against the U.S. Dollar and other major currencies through Thursday and Friday, having reached a new three-year high against the Greenback on Wednesday.

Declines coincide with falls in global equity and commodity markets as investors exited markets in the face of sharply rising bond yields - a sign that expectations for future inflation is on the rise.

The Australian Dollar-to-U.S. Dollar exchange rate peaked at 0.7957 but fell by 1.20% on Thursday and a further 1.0% on Friday to trade at 0.7788.

The weakness was felt across the strip as one of the best performing major currencies of the past month and year saw bullish investors head for the exits.

The Pound-to-Australian Dollar exchange rate rose 0.30% on Thursday but added a more chunky 0.86% gain on Friday to trade at 1.7945. The Euro-to-Australian Dollar exchange rate snapped a multi-month trend lower to go 1.30% higher on Thursday and a further 0.83% higher on Friday to trade at 1.5589 at the time of publication.

"We have been arguing to use dips in the Australian Dollar as a buying opportunity for some time now – and we see the current dip as just such an opportunity. The sharp sell-off in global bond markets has checked optimism in global financial markets – especially growth/ tech equity markets where valuations have arguably become extremely stretched," says Rennie.

How the Australian Dollar proceeds from here depends on how global investors proceed, do they buy back into equities and commodities - a trend that would aid the Aussie Dollar - or do they further reduce positions?

The verdict amongst analysts and Federal Reserve officials is that the moves are a reaction to expectations for positive future growth rates and rising inflation and as such are not considered out of place.

"Markets now trade in a regime that discounts a very benign economic outlook – i.e. they attach full credibility to US economic policy in general and to the Federal Reserve in particular. As long as this continues to be the case, financial markets should generally remain buoyant, at least over the medium term, and any drawdowns should prove temporary," says Mikio Kumada, an economist at LGT Capital Partners.

{wbamp-hide start}

Smaller banner

GBP/AUD Forecasts Q2 2023

Period: Q2 2023 Onwards
Details: Consensus institutional forecast targets + max & min targets.
Contributors: Citi, Barclays, Morgan Stanley & more
Provider: Global Reach
Type: Free Download

Please Access Here
{wbamp-hide end}{wbamp-show start}{wbamp-show end}Westpac believe the very modest tightening in financial conditions witnessed so far will not damage the sharp recovery in global economic activity that will continue through 2021 and beyond.

"Industrial commodities including iron ore, copper, aluminium etc remain well placed for continued gains through Q2 and thus we see the Australian Dollar as well supported below 0.78," adds Rennie.

"The coming dividend conversion period can also be viewed as acting as an additional support factor for the Australian Dollar through end March and into April," he adds.

Westpac target a recovery in the Australian-U.S. Dollar rate to 0.8150 through April.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Australian Dollar in strong advance against British pound; GBP/AUD @ 1.8291
Australian Dollar in strong advance against British pound; GBP/AUD @ 1.8291
Mar 22, 2024
The Australian dollar to pound sterling exchange rate is therefore at 0.5467. (Note, the above are spot market quotes, your bank will affix a spread at their discretion. An independent FX provider will however guarantee to undercut your bank's offer, thus delivering more currency. Please find out more here). The...
Australian dollar (AUD) exchange rate hit by strong USD, falling job vacancies data
Australian dollar (AUD) exchange rate hit by strong USD, falling job vacancies data
Mar 22, 2024
By Will PetersThe Australian dollar (AUD) has come under pressure on Wednesday in an environment of US dollar strength. Also weighing is the latest set of ABS job vacancies data.A look at the global foreign exchange markets shows the Aus dollar to be under pressure: The pound sterling to Australian...
Bargain hunting spree pushes AUD higher
Bargain hunting spree pushes AUD higher
Mar 22, 2024
The ‘Aussie’ rallied against a number of its most traded peers including the Pound and US Dollar as traders embarked on a bout of bargain hunting. The currency pushed close to US90 cents as investors sought to buy the ‘Aussie’ on the cheap. The bout of buying meant that the...
Australian dollar exchange rates: AUD heads lower BUT beware the reversal
Australian dollar exchange rates: AUD heads lower BUT beware the reversal
Mar 22, 2024
By Rob SamsonThe Australian dollar (AUD) has weakened against all of its major peers on speculation that the currency’s recent leap to 90 US cents was overdone.The Aus dollar has fallen for the first time in four days versus the USD’, retreating from the highest level in almost a month,...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved