financetom
Canadian Dollar
financetom
/
Forex
/
Canadian Dollar
/
Canadian Dollar Steams Higher vs. Pound and U.S. Dollar Despite Jobs Disappointment
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Canadian Dollar Steams Higher vs. Pound and U.S. Dollar Despite Jobs Disappointment
Mar 22, 2024 2:17 AM

- Labour Force Survey disappoints

- But CAD jumps as investor sentiment turns bullish

- "the going is getting tougher" for ecnomy says CIBC

Image © Adobe Stock

GBP/CAD spot rate at time of publication: 1.7324Bank transfer rates (indicative guide): 1.6718-1.6839FX specialist rates (indicative guide): 1.6930-1.7170More information on bank beating rates hereThe Canadian Dollar outperformed the Pound, U.S. Dollar, Euro and a host of other major currencies ahead of the weekend as markets overlooked domestic jobs market data that came in worse than expected and instead continued to focus on a recovery in global equity markets.

Canada created 245.8K jobs in August according to Statistics Canada, which is less than the 275.0K markets were looking for and less than the 418.5K jobs added in July.

The Unemployment Rate stood at 10.2% in August, which will disappoint markets which were expecting a figure of 10.1% to be released. Nevertheless, this is an improvement on July's 10.9%.

However, global stock markets went higher as investors took positives out of the U.S. employment report which came out alongside the Canadian report and this appears to be where foreign exchange markets are focussing on at present.

The Pound-to-Canadian Dollar exchange rate went 0.60% lower to trade at 1.7316 while the U.S. Dollar-to-Canadian Dollar exchange rate went 0.30% lower to trade at 1.31. The Euro-to-Canadian Dollar exchange rate traded half a percent lower at 1.5471.

The Canadian Dollar tends to outperform the likes of Sterling, euro and US Dollar when stock markets are rising as it has a higher 'beta' than this group of peers (a beta is best described as a positive correlation to the S&P 500).

However, the outlook for the Canadian Dollar will undoubtedly have been complicated by the jobs numbers which will keep the door to further monetary easing at the Bank of Canada open.

"The labour market recovery continued in August, but the going is getting tougher," says Andrew Grantham at CIBC Capital Markets. "There's no mistaking that the overall jobs count is still 1.1 million below it's February level. And with provincial reopening plans having largely gone as far as they will go before a vaccine is available, we will be entering a new phase of the recovery where the path higher for employment is slower and potentially uneven.

There were nevertheless some positives for CAD bulls to take home, with the participation rate rising back to 64.6%, which puts it within 1.0% of the levels seen prior to the covid-19 crunch.

CIBC Markets also note there was a greater leaning in towards full-time job gains than part time ones in August (206K vs 40K).

Economists at RBC are however not surprised by the slowdown in the jobs improvement, saying in a note to clients this was to be expected with the initial recovery-boost from easing virus containment measures in the spring fading through the summer.

Furthermore, the details of the August employment gain were a little better than the headline employment numbers says Nathan Janzen, Senior Economist at RBC Economics who notes full-time positions accounted for 84% of the headline jobs gain after an increase heavily weighted to part-time work the prior month.

"To be clear, labour markets are still very weak. Employment is still down more than a million from February," says Janzen. "But conditions continue to improve, even if at a more gradual pace."

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Canadian Dollar Forecasts Lowered at UBS, Pound Sterling Back in the Groove
Canadian Dollar Forecasts Lowered at UBS, Pound Sterling Back in the Groove
Mar 22, 2024
By Will Peters The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is under fresh pressure on Tuesday morning with a slew of forecasters predicting the currency is to suffer yet further losses.A look at the currency market place in early afternoon London time shows: The pound sterling to Canadian dollar (GBP/CAD) exchange rate is...
Canadian dollar to pound sterling: GBP/CAD recovers as Canada steals the limelight for poor data releases this Friday
Canadian dollar to pound sterling: GBP/CAD recovers as Canada steals the limelight for poor data releases this Friday
Mar 22, 2024
By Gary Howes It looked as though the Canadian dollar was due a relief rally against the British pound on Friday morning after a poor UK data release. However, Canada then outshone the UK after releasing a surprisingly bad employment figure.In early afternoon trade we see the pound sterling to...
Canadian dollar (CAD) vs Pound Sterling (GBP): 1.80 Now Forecasted
Canadian dollar (CAD) vs Pound Sterling (GBP): 1.80 Now Forecasted
Mar 22, 2024
The pound sterling continues to advance against the Canadian dollar with the exchange rate now at levels last seen back in 2009.The pound sterling to Canadian dollar exchange rate (GBP/CAD) continues to head higher; at 14:44 in London we see the rate 0.42 pct higher at 1.7879. (Note: Our GBP/CAD...
Canadian dollar to sink further, Pound Sterling unable to extend gains in GBP/CAD
Canadian dollar to sink further, Pound Sterling unable to extend gains in GBP/CAD
Mar 22, 2024
The CAD suffered both from weak Canadian economic data delivered on Friday; today we hear that the outlook remains challenging.In early afternoon in London we see the Canadian dollar remains under pressure against the majority of currencies, but GBP/CAD is struggling somewhat: The pound sterling to Canadian dollar exchange rate...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved