financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Instant View: January PCE inflation no surprise, cools year on year
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Instant View: January PCE inflation no surprise, cools year on year
Feb 28, 2025 6:25 AM

(Reuters) - The U.S. Commerce Department's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index increased 0.3% in January after advancing by an unrevised 0.3% in December, data showed on Friday. Economists had expected the PCE price index to climb 0.3%. In the year through January, prices rose 2.5% after increasing 2.6% in December.

Stripping out the volatile food and energy components, the PCE price index gained 0.3% last month after an unrevised 0.2% rise in December. Year on year, core inflation increased 2.6% after climbing 2.9% in December.

The Fed tracks the PCE price measures for its 2% inflation target. Financial markets expect the Fed will resume cutting interest rates in June.

MARKET REACTION:

STOCKS: S&P 500 emini futures added to modest gains and were up 0.27%, pointing to a firm open on Wall Street

BONDS: U.S. Treasury 10-year yield was little moved at 4.256% and the two-year yield ticked up to 4.053%

FOREX: The dollar index was off 0.08%, little moved. The euro was up 0.1%

COMMENTS:

BRIAN JACOBSEN, CHIEF ECONOMIST, ANNEX WEALTH MANAGEMENT, MENOMONEE FALLS, WISCONSIN

"Income growth was helped by the usual Social Security cost of living adjustment and dividend growth. Spending was hit hard by the nasty weather in January. Inflation was in-line with expectations. The problem isn't about what inflation was so much as what people fear it might be. There's often a divide between how people say they feel and how they actually spend their money. The looming threat of tariffs could lead people to accelerate purchases to try to front-run possible price hikes. The February data that comes out in March could show a big rebound in spending. The data will give lots of head-fakes for a while."

PETER CARDILLO, CHIEF MARKET ECONOMIST, SPARTAN CAPITAL SECURITIES, NEW YORK

"The inflation numbers still remain elevated, although they came in within expectations, but on a year-to-year basis there was a slight relief from the previous reading, but the report indicates that inflation remains sticky."

"That means the pause will continue. And that means that the Fed may have a dilemma on its hands because the recent macro numbers are cooling and it shows signs of the economy cooling."

"Now the personal income that was stronger than we expected by nearly 6/10 of a percent, so income is still strong and that means that you know such the consumer still has buying power most consumers, anyway."

"Spending came in lower than we were looking for, and some of this may have been weather-related, but most of it I would attribute to a cooling economy, which presents a dilemma for the Fed in the sense that you still have inflation and you have an economy that is moving lower. If you add them together, that equals stagflation."

(Compiled by the Global Finance & Markets Breaking News team)

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Chile's Lithium Vision: Ambitious Plans Shine While US Market Tries To Overcome Fragmentation
Chile's Lithium Vision: Ambitious Plans Shine While US Market Tries To Overcome Fragmentation
Mar 29, 2024
The Chilean government has unveiled an ambitious plan to double its lithium output over the next decade. The motivation behind this push lies in the nation’s recognition of the potential risks posed by lithium shortages, which could lead to significant economic repercussions for the second-largest producer of this metal critical for clean energy transition. Production needs to increase so that...
Fed's balancing act could see June rate cut in play even with sticky inflation
Fed's balancing act could see June rate cut in play even with sticky inflation
Mar 29, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell says the central bank is not growing more tolerant of higher inflation even though the latest policymaker projections raised the inflation outlook for the year without triggering a tougher monetary-policy response. But former Fed officials and other analysts see Powell nevertheless approaching a difficult moment trying to reconcile competing economic risks, a...
Inflation Ticks Higher In February: Is A May Interest Rate Cut In The Cards?
Inflation Ticks Higher In February: Is A May Interest Rate Cut In The Cards?
Mar 29, 2024
Personal consumption expenditures, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, rose as economists expected in February, leaving markets frustrated as to the likely timing of interest rate cuts. Key highlights from February’s Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation report: The headline personal consumption expenditures price index rose by an annual rate of 2.5%, up from January’s 2.4% and in line with expectations....
US Dollar Rises Early Friday Ahead of Personal Income, PCE Prices, Advance Trade, Powell
US Dollar Rises Early Friday Ahead of Personal Income, PCE Prices, Advance Trade, Powell
Mar 29, 2024
07:35 AM EDT, 03/29/2024 (MT Newswires) -- The US dollar rose against its major trading partners early Friday, except for a decline versus the yen, ahead of the release of personal income, spending, and price data and advance trade and inventory data, all for February, at 8:30 am ET, with most US markets closed for Good Friday. Chicago PMI and...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved