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Federal Reserve Watch for Aug. 23: Powell Says 'Time Has Come' for Monetary Policy to Be Adjusted Lower
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Federal Reserve Watch for Aug. 23: Powell Says 'Time Has Come' for Monetary Policy to Be Adjusted Lower
Aug 29, 2024 8:40 AM

02:43 PM EDT, 08/23/2024 (MT Newswires) -- Fed Chairman Jerome Powell (voter) said that "the time has come for policy to adjust," noting that the data will determine the timing and pace of rate cuts and suggesting that the balance of risks have shifted, and soft employment is now a bigger concern than inflation.

Powell noted recent inflation data have given him more confidence that inflation is slowing toward 2%, referring to comments made earlier in the year that more confidence was needed before rates could be adjusted lower, and said that the FOMC "will do everything we can to support a strong labor market as we make further progress toward price stability."

Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic (voter) said that it would be appropriate to lower interest rates sooner than previous expected as risks to inflation and employment have come into better balance. Bostic warned that once the Fed begins to cut rates, inflation remains part of the mandate and could still be a concern.

Recent comments of note:

(Aug. 22) Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker (nonvoter) said in an interview with CNBC that the FOMC needs to begin to lower interest rates "methodically," possibly at the next FOMC meeting on Sept. 17-18, noting that the Fed's commitment to lowering rates is more important the size of the rate reductions. Harker added that the recent slowdown in employment growth was to be expected and that even taking a large downward revision to payrolls into consideration, job growth is still solid.

(Aug. 22) Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid (nonvoter) said in an interview with CNBC that he would like to see more evidence that inflation is slowing before cutting rates but conceded that it would be appropriate to begin lowering rates before inflation gets all the way down to the Fed's 2% goal. He said that the preliminary estimate of the payrolls benchmark revision did not impact his view of the economy.

(Aug. 22) Boston Fed President Susan Collins (nonvoter) said in an interview with Fox Business that the FOMC should soon begin to gradually cut interest rates to prevent a downturn in the economy.

(Aug. 21) The minutes of the July 30-31 FOMC meeting showed that several participants were willing to consider an interest rate reduction at that meeting, but all agreed to wait for more evidence on falling inflation, citing the likelihood of a reduction at the next meeting if the data progress as expected.

(Aug. 20) Fed Governor Michelle Bowman (voter) largely repeated her comments from a speech on Aug. 10, saying she will "remain cautious" when considering changes to the current monetary policy stance as inflation remains elevate, adding that she will monitor incoming data as part of the decision-making process.

(Aug. 19) Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari (nonvoter) said in an interview with the Wall Street Journal that it would appropriate to discuss lowering interest rates at the next FOMC meeting on Sept. 17-18 due to slowing inflation and concerning labor market data.

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