financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
Exclusive-Fed's Hammack eyes steady balance sheet cuts amid US government financial uncertainty
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Exclusive-Fed's Hammack eyes steady balance sheet cuts amid US government financial uncertainty
Feb 28, 2025 3:30 AM

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack reckons the U.S. central bank can keep steadily shrinking its balance sheet through a period of uncertain government finances, while noting she is disinclined to support an interest rate hike even if inflation pressures do not retreat quickly enough.

Hammack said her "baseline preference" is that the Fed presses forward with the balance sheet drawdown commonly referred to as quantitative tightening, or QT, while the government sorts out its spending plans and adjusts the debt ceiling to facilitate its borrowing needs.

Once that is resolved, the Fed can use temporary bond repurchases, or repos, if needed, "to put more (liquidity) back in the system until you figure out" the market's needs, Hammack said in an interview with Reuters on Thursday.

Once government funding issues are squared up, "while there may be in aggregate enough reserves, if the distribution of it is not as efficient across the system, you need some mechanism for getting it to all the right places," she said. Temporary liquidity additions can accomplish that, she noted.

Hammack was addressing the QT outlook after minutes released last week from the Federal Open Market Committee's late-January meeting showed an unknown number of officials weighed slowing or pausing the QT process.

Policymakers are considering the shift because getting a read on market liquidity during this period will be difficult, the minutes said. They do not want to withdraw too much liquidity lest the central bank rattles the money market and loses firm control over the federal funds rate, its main tool to influence the economy's direction, the minutes said.

Since 2022, the Fed has not been replacing some of its expired Treasury and mortgage bonds, allowing its portfolio to fall to $6.8 trillion from a peak of $9 trillion. The Fed has been unclear how far this process can play out and is letting market data inform how much liquidity it can withdraw before it halts QT.

Ahead of the Fed's January meeting, market participants had been eyeing an early summer stopping point.

With repos, Hammack said the Fed can manage the withdrawal of market liquidity the Treasury cash management will create as it manages its finances after a debt ceiling resolution. When it comes to QT, "I do think it can go a bit longer," Hammack said.

Longer run, the official said she does not expect the Fed to sell mortgage bonds, which have been slow to expire off the Fed's holdings despite its official goal of getting toward mostly Treasury holdings.

FUNDS RATE STEADY STATE

"I believe that monetary policy has the luxury of being patient as we assess the path forward," even with a healthy job market and uneven cooling in inflation pressures, Hammack said in a speech prior to the interview. "This will likely mean holding the federal funds rate steady for some time."

In the interview, she said she does not expect a rate hike if inflation pressures remain above the Fed's 2% target, but the odds of such a move are not zero.

Hammack also said recent data suggesting the public may be bracing for higher inflation is on her radar but so far, when it comes to expectations of future price pressures, "I think (expectations) are still anchored."

Hammack said it is too soon to say what the Trump administration's regime of trade tariffs means for inflation, and that everything depends on what is done and how other nations respond.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
US Congress scrambles to pass $1.2 trillion spending bill, midnight deadline looms
US Congress scrambles to pass $1.2 trillion spending bill, midnight deadline looms
Mar 22, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The Republican-controlled U.S. House of Representatives and Democratic-majority Senate on Friday will scramble to beat a midnight government shutdown deadline by passing a $1.2 trillion bill keeping the government funded through September. If they succeed, it will end a more-than-six-month battle over the scope of Washington's spending for the fiscal year that began Oct. 1. If they...
US Dollar Improves Early Friday Ahead of Fed Appearances, State Unemployment
US Dollar Improves Early Friday Ahead of Fed Appearances, State Unemployment
Mar 22, 2024
07:38 AM EDT, 03/22/2024 (MT Newswires) -- The US dollar rose against its major trading partners early Friday, except for a decline versus the yen, ahead of a series of appearances by Federal Reserve officials that compensate for a lack of major US data. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is scheduled to make opening remarks at a Fed Listens conference at...
U.S. companies' stock purchases via buybacks, M&A to hit 6-year high in 2024, Goldman says
U.S. companies' stock purchases via buybacks, M&A to hit 6-year high in 2024, Goldman says
Mar 22, 2024
(Reuters) - U.S. companies' purchases of domestic equities through more stock buybacks and corporate acquisitions will hit a six-year high of $625 billion this year, about as much as mutual funds and pension houses will offload, Goldman Sachs said. A surge in share buybacks and continued growth in cash mergers and acquisitions (M&A) will be the primary drivers of corporate...
Fed Chair Powell says pandemic has had lasting effects on economy
Fed Chair Powell says pandemic has had lasting effects on economy
Mar 22, 2024
(Reuters) - Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday opened a Fed Listens event on how Americans are experiencing the economy, saying the pandemic has had lasting effects and that to make good policy the U.S. central bank cannot rely only on macroeconomic data but needs to hear directly from people and businesses. He did not make any remarks about the...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved