financetom
Economy
financetom
/
Economy
/
China's factory output up, but consumption still a drag
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
China's factory output up, but consumption still a drag
Dec 15, 2024 7:22 PM

BEIJING (Reuters) -China's industrial output growth quickened slightly in November, while retail sales disappointed, keeping pressure on Beijing to ramp up stimulus for a fragile economy as it braces for more U.S. trade tariffs under a second Trump administration.

The mixed set of data underlines the challenges facing Chinese leaders heading into 2025 when trade relations with the United States could worsen at a time when domestic consumption also remains weak.

China's industrial output grew 5.4% in November year-on-year, up from the 5.3% pace seen in October, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed on Monday, beating expectations for a 5.3% increase in a Reuters poll.

However, retail sales, a gauge of consumption, grew just 3.3% last month, much slower than a 4.8% rise seen in October. Analysts had predicted a 4.6% expansion.

The weaker retail figures come despite a boost from major online shopping promotions and government-subsidised trade-in programs that have boosted sales in sectors including automobiles.

Fixed asset investment also increased at a slower 3.3% pace in January-November from the same period a year earlier, compared with an expected 3.4% rise. It grew 3.4% in the January to October period.

NBS spokesperson Fu Linghui told a media briefing that the trend of recovery in consumption has not changed and that officials would implement more policies to boost domestic demand.

At last week's Central Economic Work Conference (CEWC), a closely-watched agenda-setting meeting, China's top leaders pledged to raise the budget deficit, issue more debt, and make boosting consumption a top priority.

The remarks echoed commitments made by a meeting of top Communist Party officials, the Politburo, earlier this month, which endorsed an "appropriately loose" monetary policy in the first easing of its stance in 14 years.

Policymakers continue to grapple with a years-long property crisis that is dragging on consumer confidence and the broader economy, with some 70% of household savings parked in real estate.

There was some encouraging signs on China's new home prices, which fell at the slowest pace in 17 months in November.

Officials in recent months have doubled down on efforts to encourage homebuying, including cutting mortgage rates and minimum down-payment ratios, as well as tax incentives to lower the cost of housing transactions.

However, most analysts say a sure-footed recovery in the real estate sector appears to be some way off.

Reuters has reported that policy advisers have recommended that Beijing maintain a growth target of around 5.0% for next year, with one government economist saying that China can offset the impact of expected U.S. tariffs on its exports by further boosting domestic demand.

Trump, who is set to start his second term as the U.S. president in January, has threatened tariffs in excess of 60% on imports of Chinese goods.

Reuters also reported last week that China was considering allowing the yuan to weaken in response to punitive trade measures, but a readout from state media Xinhua after the CEWC reiterated a commitment to maintain the yuan's basic stability.

A recent Reuters poll predicted China will grow 4.5% next year, with new U.S. tariffs potentially shaving up to 1 parentage point off growth.

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Producer Inflation Rises More Than Expected To 3% In November: All Eyes On The Fed's Interest Rate Call
Producer Inflation Rises More Than Expected To 3% In November: All Eyes On The Fed's Interest Rate Call
Dec 12, 2024
The inflation measured on U.S. producer prices rose more sharply than anticipated in November, marking its second consecutive increase and casting a shadow over the broader outlook for disinflation in the economy. In November, the producer price index increased by 3% year-over-year — the highest since February 2023 — marking a significant uptick from October’s upwardly revised 2.6% and economist...
US weekly jobless claims unexpectedly rise
US weekly jobless claims unexpectedly rise
Dec 12, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - The number of Americans filing new applications for jobless benefits unexpectedly rose last week and more people continued to collect unemployment checks at the end of November relative to the beginning of the year as demand for labor cools. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits increased 17,000 to a seasonally adjusted 242,000 for the week ended Dec....
US producer price increase exceeds expectations in November
US producer price increase exceeds expectations in November
Dec 12, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. producer prices rose more than expected in November amid a surge in the cost of food, but a moderation in the prices of services offered hope that the disinflationary trend remains in place. The producer price index for final demand jumped 0.4% last month after an upwardly revised 0.3% increase in October, the Labor Department's Bureau...
US producer price increase exceeds expectations in November
US producer price increase exceeds expectations in November
Dec 12, 2024
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. producer prices rose more than expected in November amid a surge in the cost of food, but a moderation in the prices of services offered hope that the disinflationary trend remains in place. The producer price index for final demand jumped 0.4% last month after an upwardly revised 0.3% increase in October, the Labor Department's Bureau...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved