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Intel shares rally in after-hours trading despite biggest loss in history
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Intel shares rally in after-hours trading despite biggest loss in history
Apr 27, 2023 10:23 PM

Intel's shares gained over 4.5 percent after hours as investors took note of the company's cost-cutting measures, even though the semiconductor manufacturer recorded a net loss of $2.8 billion, its largest ever quarterly loss.

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During trading hours, Intel Corp's shares jumped after the company promised a recovery in second half. The company predicted that gross margin, which is a closely watched measure, would begin widening again in the next half of this year. Intel said it is returning to complete manufacturing capacity, and an inventory glut afflicting the personal compute market is nearing an end, executives said on a conference call Thursday. The upbeat remarks helped send the shares up over 6 percent in late trading after a previous decline.

“You normally have a stronger second half in our industry, and we expect that to be the case,” the company's CEO Pat Gelsinger said on the call. “We’re seeing some green shoots in the marketplace. But we think it’s a tough market for all.”

The company also painted a more optimistic view of the broader PC industry, saying it expects shipments to reach 270 million units this year before increasing to around 300 million units annually in the future. That would put the total back above the level in 2022, when shipments began sliding.

Gelsinger is confronting a massive pileup of inventory, weak demand and the loss of market share — all of which contributed to a historic slump. At the same time, he’s trying to speed up the introduction of new production technology, a costly attempt to regain Intel’s industry leadership. But that effort — if successful — won’t bear fruit until 2025.

Also Read: Meta’s Megamorphosis: How a stock that fell 65% in 2022 recovered 150% in 6 months

Investors have been skeptical that the chipmaker can catch up with rivals, and the stock plunged nearly 50% last year. On Thursday, Gelsinger argued that the company has begun to turn a corner.

“In the things that they can control, they’ve lived through the worst of that pain,” said Cody Acree, an analyst for Benchmark Co.

In the near term, Intel’s financial outlook still looks dim. It expects a loss of 4 cents a share in the second quarter, excluding some items, the company said. That compares with the 2-cent average estimate of analysts.

That initially sent shares down more than 2 percent in late trading, before a later rally. They had closed at $29.86, leaving them up 13 percent this year.

The revenue outlook was a bit brighter, with the company predicting sales of $11.5 billion to $12.5 billion. The midpoint of that range exceeds the average analyst estimate of $11.7 billion.

Intel predicted that gross margin — the portion of sales remaining after deducting the cost of production — would be 37.5 percent in the second quarter. That compares with an estimate of 41 percent.

The company has been running its factories at less than their full capacity, meaning it has to take “underloading” charges that crimp margins. While that headwind will recede as the company is able to increase output later this year, margins won’t rebound to where they once were until those plants are upgraded, according to Chief Financial Officer Dave Zinsner.

The factories need new manufacturing technologies that will be expensive to put in place. Once that happens — and Intel is competitive with rivals again — the company hopes to restore profitability to historical levels.

When its factories were home to the industry’s most cutting-edge production and its products were dominant in the server and PC markets, the company regularly posted a margin of more than 60 percent.

Also Read: Asian stocks set to gain after tech-led US rally

In the first quarter, Intel reported a loss of 4 cents a share, excluding some items, better than the 16-cent loss analysts had predicted. Revenue came in at $11.7 billion. That beat analysts’ projection of $11.1 billion, but sales has come down sharply in recent years. Intel had quarterly revenue of more than $20 billion as recently as 2021.

Client computing, Intel’s PC chip business, generated $5.8 billion in revenue. That compares with an estimate of $4.95 billion. Data-center sales were $3.7 billion, versus an average projection of $3.51 billion.

First-quarter PC shipments slumped 29% to 56.9 million units, taking them back below the levels of early 2019, according to IDC. That puts the industry on course to come in more than 100 million units shy of its 2021 total.

Intel’s strength in the server processor market once cushioned it from the ebb and flow of the PC business. Server chips, the central components of machines that run the internet and corporate networks, are much more expensive and profitable than those that go into laptops. But in that area, Intel has lost market share to rival Advanced Micro Devices Inc. and in-house efforts by major customers such as Amazon.com Inc.’s AWS.

A slowdown in demand in the server and networking business hasn’t hit bottom yet, Intel executives said Thursday.

Overall, Intel gave enough positive news to raise investors’ spirits. But analysts like Benchmark’s Acree will be waiting for the company to follow through.

“There are still a lot of questions,” he said.

With inputs from Bloomberg

Also Read: Trade Setup for April 28: All eyes on 18,000 after Nifty 50 has best F&O series in six months

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