*
Frontier withdraws full-year forecast amid weak travel
demand
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Airline fares see steepest monthly decline since September
2021
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Frontier cuts Q2 capacity to protect margins
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Frontier shares drop 12.5%, other airlines also see
declines
By Rajesh Kumar Singh and Anshuman Tripathy
April 10 (Reuters) - Frontier Group ( ULCC ), the parent
of Frontier Airlines, withdrew its full-year forecast on
Thursday and warned of a loss in the first quarter, as U.S.
President Donald Trump's trade war has hit travel demand.
The Denver-based company is the second major U.S. carrier to
ditch its forecast after Delta Air Lines ( DAL ) pulled its
full-year guidance on Wednesday.
Frontier said travel demand has weakened, resulting in fare
discounting and promotions across the industry. Citing the
uncertain environment, the airline said it was unable to
reaffirm the full-year 2025 outlook.
In February, the company had forecast an adjusted profit of
at least $1.00 this year, and breakeven earnings of 7 cents a
share in the March quarter.
Trump's trade war has rattled global markets, hitting
business and consumer confidence. As travel is a discretionary
item for many consumers and businesses, mounting economic
worries have clouded the airline industry's outlook and sparked
a selloff in shares.
Weakening consumer demand has also undermined the industry's
pricing power. Airline fares fell 5.3% in March from a month
ago, posting their steepest monthly decline since September
2021, according to data from the U.S. Labor Department.
Frontier's shares fell about 12.5% on Thursday and have
shaved off half their value so far this year.
Shares of Southwest ( LUV ), Alaska, Delta, United
and American Airlines ( AAL ) fell between 10% and 14%
on Thursday.
The S&P 1500 Airlines index is down about 37% so far this
year, compared with the wider S&P 500's 10.43% drop.
Battered global markets and anxious global leaders welcomed
Wednesday's reprieve when Trump suddenly decided to freeze most
of his hefty new duties for 90 days. But the selloff resumed on
Thursday amid fears of a worsening trade war with China.
Frontier said it expects a modest 5% revenue growth in the
first quarter, adding it would continue to monitor demand and
adjust capacity as needed.
It has cut capacity, or the seats available on flights, for
the June quarter to avoid lowering fares and protect margins. It
now expects a low single-digit year-on-year decline in capacity
in the second quarter.
Frontier expects an adjusted quarterly loss in the range of
20 to 24 cents per share, compared with analysts' average
estimate of a loss of $0.03 per share, according to data
compiled by LSEG.
The company will report its quarterly earnings on May 1.