SAO JOSE DOS CAMPOS, Brazil, June 17 (Reuters) - Embraer ( ERJ )
heads into the Farnborough Airshow next month riding
tail winds that have lifted its shares to an all-time high, as
recent orders show the Brazilian planemaker ready to fill a gap
for airlines starved for new planes in coming years.
The news has boosted hopes for Embraer ( ERJ ) ahead of the major
industry event on July 22 to 26, when planemakers often announce
major orders. Last year, investors were disappointed by
Embraer's ( ERJ ) weaker-than-expected numbers at the Paris Airshow.
Sao Paulo-traded shares of the company are up nearly 70%
this year and hit a record high last week, by far the top gainer
on the benchmark Bovespa stock index. Several analysts
still see room to rise.
This month, Embraer ( ERJ ) bagged an order for 20 E2 jets from
state-run Mexicana de Aviacion, opening a new market for its
next-generation commercial jets and growing its backlog of firm
orders from a seven-year high of $21.1 billion hit in March.
"We continue to see a healthy environment for new orders,"
XP Investimentos analysts told clients after the announcement.
Embraer ( ERJ ) last year revealed only 13 orders for commercial
jets at the Paris Airshow, falling short of market estimates and
previous years. But carriers are struggling increasingly with an
aircraft shortage constraining their capacity, which has
presented new opportunities for the Brazilian company.
Embraer ( ERJ ) has production slots available from 2026, meaning it
can deliver on new jet sales before larger rivals Boeing ( BA )
and Airbus, the latter having sold out its production
of single-aisle jets until the end of the decade.
Market watchers say Embraer's ( ERJ ) available slots may help it to
serve short-term growth plans for carriers such as Mexicana. The
Brazilian planemaker's traditional niche fits just below the
Boeing ( BA ) and Airbus's best-selling 150-seat-plus market.
The Mexican order, JPMorgan said, "corroborates with our
thesis that Embraer ( ERJ ) should continue to benefit from a lack of
slots from peers to deliver aircraft in the mid-term."
Mexicana's deal with Embraer ( ERJ ) came after much-touted talks
with Boeing ( BA ), which analysts indicated may not have progressed
because of the U.S. planemaker's extended delivery deadlines.
The move may also give the E2 family an extra push in North
America. The smaller, first-generation E1 jets are the backbone
of regional aviation in the U.S., but Embraer ( ERJ ) hopes to break
into that key market with its E195-E2 "small narrowbody".
The E2s were initially slow-selling due to the COVID-19
pandemic, Pratt & Whitney's engine supply shortages and
a mismatch between the weight of the aircraft and "scope clause"
restrictions in U.S. pilot union agreements.
"We believe the successful entry of E2s in Mexico will
subsequently help boost the aircraft's debut in the U.S.
regional market once the scope clause regulations are updated,"
BTG Pactual analysts said.
The E2 flies in Canada with Porter Airlines, including some
routes to the United States.
"Embraer's ( ERJ ) four divisions are all experiencing favorable
industry landscapes," BTG said, also citing successful campaigns
for sales of the flagship C-390 Millennium military aircraft to
countries such as South Korea and Austria. "We're buyers (of
Embraer's ( ERJ ) shares)."