March 28 (Reuters) - Concerns sparked by CoreWeave's
debt pile and other financial challenges may weigh on
retail investor enthusiasm as it prepares to go public after
what analysts said was a poorly timed IPO.
The Nvidia-backed AI infrastructure company, which focuses
on data centers and cloud services, is listing at a time when
the equity markets are under pressure from tariff uncertainty
and on rising concerns over the competition posed by China's
artificial intelligence startup DeepSeek.
Frustration is also mounting over when Big Tech's massive
investments in AI will yield returns, leading to concerns
CoreWeave may have missed the ideal window to list its shares.
"It feels like the IPO was poorly timed. Had it floated a
year ago, demand might have been much stronger than now as AI
interest has started to wane," Dan Coatsworth, investment
analyst at AJ Bell, said.
The listing comes at a time when IPO-bound companies, even
in the most high-profile sectors, have been under intense
scrutiny. Despite a recovery, the IPO market is nowhere near the
pandemic years when listings had soared.
CoreWeave already suffered a setback on Thursday when it
downsized its IPO. Under the new terms, it fetched a fully
diluted valuation of around $23 billion compared with the $32
billion it was targeting earlier.
"It's got a lot of risks. I don't know what is the long-term
sustainability of the business," said Kamran Ansari, managing
partner at Kapital Ventures.
CoreWeave's revenue jumped more than eight-fold last year,
but sustaining that growth will be critical.
"There will be risks over the longer term around the company
maintaining its impressive growth and not missing earnings
estimates," said Samuel Kerr, head of equity capital markets at
Mergermarket.
CoreWeave had about $8 billion in debt as of last year. The
company said earlier this month that it plans to use about $1
billion of the IPO proceeds to reduce debt.
Some investors have also flagged concerns about the
company's heavy reliance on Microsoft ( MSFT ), whose shifting
AI data center strategy could impact long-term demand for chips
known as graphics processing units, or GPUs.
AI HYPE
Top AI players have sparked massive interest from retail
investors in recent years. Nvidia, Microsoft ( MSFT ), Amazon ( AMZN ),
Apple ( AAPL ) and Alphabet were among the top 20
stocks drawing retail investor inflows in 2024, according to
Vanda Research.
Some experts have also brushed aside concerns stemming from
DeepSeek, noting that heightened competition will drive more
investment rather than leading to cutbacks.
"AI remains a very hot investment theme despite doubts
earlier this year following the emergence of DeepSeek,"
Mergermarket's Kerr said.
Those seeking opportunities beyond the top tech names may
back CoreWeave.
Net inflows from retail investors into U.S. equities and
exchange-traded funds totaled $69.8 billion as of March 25 this
year, only slightly below the $71.7 billion invested in the
final quarter of 2024, according to Vanda Research.
"Retail investors will be drawn to (CoreWeave) as they
continue to look for other avenues of returns away from the
potentially lackluster performance of the MAG7 (Magnificent
Seven) stocks," Josef Schuster, CEO of IPO research firm IPOX,
said.
The Magnificent Seven - a group of tech giants that have
driven much of the stock market's gains in recent years - have
been battered so far in 2025.
CoreWeave did not immediately respond to a request for
comment. It is set to debut later on Friday.